Amazon’s new Swedish and Dutch marketplaces indicate Amazon’s commitment to international expansion over the long term. Should you jump in right away? Or wait until the channels pick up steam?
In a recent episode of the Ecommerce Braintrust podcast, Bobsled CEO Kiri Masters spoke with Hendrik Laubscher, the Founder and Chief Analyst of Blue Cape Ventures about the Amazon Sweden and Netherlands opportunity.
Read on for the key takeaways.
💡 Verdict: Amazon Netherlands presents a fantastic opportunity given the sophistication of the market, but only for brands with deep pockets in terms of marketing investment, at least initially. Based on Henrik’s experience, he recommends that emerging brands shoot for 5-20% profitability over the first year.
This question can be placed in the ‘how long’s a piece of string?’ basket due to the unique complexity of each potential launch! However, there are a useful few data points you can look at.
Would you rather expand to a fast-growing market, or a large one? The below chart from Similar Web / Merchant Spring illustrates which Amazon marketplaces sit on a X/Y chart of these metrics.
Source: Similar Web / Merchant Spring
Amazon Sweden and Netherlands are obviously going to be comparatively low on competition upon launch. If you’re already selling across a multitude of marketplaces, the above graph may be useful in terms of ascertaining your brand’s ‘sweet spot’ when it comes to aligning growth opportunities with market share and profitability. Bear in mind this graph was from Jan 2020, and so Covid may have drastically changed the landscape for your brand.
The Bobsled team has also provided some ballpark aggregates of total market size compared to Amazon.com:
Therefore it would be safe to say that over the first year brands shouldn’t expect more than 1-5% of total sales volume compared to Amazon.com sales volume on Amazon Sweden or Netherlands. The obvious exception would be brands that already have a strong presence in these countries.
Henrik encourages brands to look at some macro metrics when it comes to gauging the Swedish and Dutch opportunity.
“GDP is a good indicator of potential,” he says. “If you establish an idea of the market as a whole, from there you can zero in on more targeted consumer research.”
Kiri encourages brands to keep Amazon’s ‘soft launch’ expansion strategy top of mind when it comes to appraising new marketplaces.
“With Amazon Australia, there was no Prime or PPC advertising on the marketplace for the first six months,” she says. “Therefore, things didn’t start with a bang. Amazon wants to win market share from other retailers slowly over time. If a brand’s going to invest in launching on Amazon Sweden and Netherlands, they should prepare for things to take a while to get going, and focus on becoming properly entrenched over the long term.”
We have a comprehensive past blog post entitled Go Big From Home - A Breakdown Of Amazon Global & FBA Export which explains the international launch process in detail. If you’re planning to launch on a non-local Amazon marketplace soon, we’d strongly recommend reading this article in full.
But here are a few condensed points in relation to Amazon Sweden & Netherlands: